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Strategic Assessment Papers

In-depth, source-based analysis from The Pakistan Playbook

The Kabul Assurances
Strategic Assessment Paper

The Kabul Assurances

In August 2021, days after taking Kabul, the Taliban set out a series of public commitments to Afghans and to the international community. The Kabul Assurances takes eleven of those commitments and sets each against the record from 15 August 2021 to September 2026.

The Cost of Watching Everyone
Strategic Assessment Paper

The Cost of Watching Everyone

The argument in one line: the only thing that ever really limited tyranny was the cost of watching everyone, and artificial intelligence has just removed it.

Counting the May 2025 Conflict
Strategic Assessment Paper

Counting the May 2025 Conflict

A source-based financial and strategic accounting of the May 2025 conflict — Operation Sindoor and Marka-e-Haq. Forty pages, seventy-five cited sources, and four tiers of evidence, sequenced so the reader starts inside India’s own admissions before a single Pakistani source is introduced. It documents the aircraft losses, the cost asymmetry, and the strategic balance that emerged.